VITAUTAS.EXE

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Three doors.

A car behind one door, goats behind the other two. Pick a door. The host opens a goat door. Then: stay or switch?

?% switching wins

Pick a door.

Stay: — · Switch: —

Why does switching win?

Your first pick is right one time in three, and the host opening a goat door does not change that. The other two thirds of the luck now sit behind the one door he left closed.

Try another.